5A Texas State Playoff Games 2006

Round 1: Bi-district (Nov 16-18)

Results and Predictions (last update: 12/18/2006)

These predicted scores are based on the mathematically-derived offensive and defensive strengths shown here. 

An "X" in the first column indicates that the predicted winner was incorrect.  A "?" indicates a game in which a tie was predicted.

Any game in which the absolute value of the predicted difference in PS and PA (|Diff|) is 6 or less should be considered "too close to call."  Those games are shaded yellow.

         Actual Predicted
Right?  Winner        Loser          PS PA Diff PS PA Diff |Diff| Error
X Kingwood               Deer Park              34 27 7 22 22 0 0 -7
X Austin Westlake        SA Churchill           42 40 2 27 27 0 0 -2
  Odessa Permian         Mansfield Summit       45 31 14 37 36 1 1 -13
X RR Westwood            Bryan                  35 33 2 23 24 -1 1 -3
X FB Hightower           Clear Creek            20 14 6 20 21 -1 1 -7
  FB Marshall            Galveston Ball         33 27 6 21 20 1 1 -5
  Hebron                 Justin Northwest       34 14 20 21 19 2 2 -18
X Grapevine              Flower Mound           36 30 6 21 24 -3 3 -9
X Midland                Mansfield Timberview   26 22 4 21 24 -3 3 -7
X Garland                Plano West             23 21 2 30 33 -3 3 -5
  Houston Memorial       Houston Madison        34 7 27 16 13 3 3 -24
X Katy Cinco Ranch       Cypress Ridge          24 14 10 19 24 -5 5 -15
  Houston Westside       Aldine MacArthur       55 27 28 23 18 5 5 -23
  Amarillo               EP Hanks               42 26 16 33 28 5 5 -11
  Brazoswood             FB Clements            42 35 7 20 15 5 5 -2
X Harlingen South        San Benito             21 16 5 25 30 -5 5 -10
X Colleyville Heritage   Coppell                52 20 32 31 37 -6 6 -38
  Pearland               FB Dulles              47 22 25 35 29 6 6 -19
  SA Reagan              Seguin                 34 27 7 26 19 7 7 0
  Richardson Berkner     South Garland          38 21 17 26 19 7 7 -10
  SA MacArthur           Austin High            21 13 8 30 23 7 7 -1
X Amarillo Tascosa       EP Coronado            33 23 10 19 27 -8 8 -18
  Abilene                Weatherford            33 0 33 29 21 8 8 -25
X Dallas Carter          Tyler John Tyler       32 21 11 22 30 -8 8 -19
X Round Rock             A&M Consolidated       42 16 26 18 28 -10 10 -36
X La Joya                Laredo Alexander       45 29 16 19 29 -10 10 -26
  Houston Lamar          Aldine                 35 7 28 36 24 12 12 -16
  Weslaco                Harlingen              40 37 3 36 24 12 12 9
  La Porte               Port Arthur Memorial   56 27 29 40 28 12 12 -17
  Leander                Killeen Ellison        49 22 27 29 16 13 13 -14
  Klein Forest           TW College Park        45 38 7 26 13 13 13 6
  Klein Oak              Conroe Oak Ridge       41 21 20 37 23 14 14 -6
X San Angelo Central     EP Montwood            14 12 2 18 33 -15 15 -17
X Midland Lee            Burleson               37 30 7 15 30 -15 15 -22
  Lufkin                 Klein                  72 24 48 39 23 16 16 -32
  Plano East             Rockwall               31 24 7 34 18 16 16 9
  Spring Westfield       The Woodlands          33 14 19 18 2 16 16 -3
  DeSoto                 Hurst L.D. Bell        52 10 42 25 9 16 16 -26
  Cedar Park             Killeen Harker Heights 36 29 7 23 7 16 16 9
  Beaumont West Brook    Pasadena Memorial      57 34 23 36 20 16 16 -7
  SA Warren              CC Ray                 41 14 27 36 20 16 16 -11
  South Grand Prairie    Arlington Bowie        24 21 3 40 23 17 17 14
  GP North Shore         Baytown Lee            34 33 1 35 18 17 17 16
  SA O'Connor            SA Southwest           24 21 3 29 12 17 17 14
  Los Fresnos            PSJA High              45 38 7 34 16 18 18 11
  Mesquite               Dallas Skyline         35 14 21 31 11 20 20 -1
  Katy                   Jersey Village         52 7 45 27 7 20 20 -25
  SA Marshall            SA East Central        50 14 36 39 19 20 20 -16
  Lubbock Monterey       EP Americas            40 14 26 39 17 22 22 -4
  McAllen                Laredo Cigarroa        45 12 33 38 16 22 22 -11
  Cedar Hill             Dallas Jesuit          63 7 56 36 13 23 23 -33
  McAllen Memorial       Laredo Martin          69 14 55 37 14 23 23 -32
  Allen                  Rowlett                42 14 28 37 13 24 24 -4
  Laredo United          Rio Grande City        48 7 41 45 21 24 24 -17
  Houston Stratford      Houston Chavez         35 16 19 40 16 24 24 5
  Cypress Falls          Alief Taylor           47 28 19 32 7 25 25 6
  PSJA North             Brownsville Lopez      57 14 43 35 9 26 26 -17
  SA Jay                 CC Carroll             60 20 40 34 7 27 27 -13
X San Marcos             Smithson Valley        35 34 1 2 30 -28 28 -29
  Cypress Fairbanks      Katy Taylor            35 7 28 34 5 29 29 1
  Euless Trinity         Arlington Martin       41 0 41 45 15 30 30 -11
  Southlake Carroll      Lewisville             35 0 35 43 1 42 42 7
  Tyler Lee              Dallas Molina          42 7 35 46 -6 52 52 17
  Longview               Dallas Adams           68 0 68 58 -4 62 62 -6

 

PS = Points scored by first team.  PA = Points allowed by first team.